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Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method

Wright, George; Goodwin, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 813-825

In this paper we review and analyse scenario planning as an aid to anticipation of the future under conditions of low predictability. We examine how successful the method is in mitigating issues to do with inappropriate framing, cognitive and motivational bias, and inappropriate attributions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008521536

On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE

Goodwin, Paul; Lawton, Richard - In: International Journal of Forecasting 15 (1999) 4, pp. 405-408

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428731

Practical Forecasting for Managers,: John C. Nash & Mary Nash (2001), London: Arnold and New York: Oxford University Press, 296 pages. ISBN 0 340 76238 1 Paperback [UK pound]24.99, $40.00.

Goodwin, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 19 (2003) 3, pp. 532-534

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428747

A psychological approach to decision support systems : S.J. Hoch and D.A. Schkade, 1996, Management science, 42, 51-64

Goodwin, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 13 (1997) 1, pp. 149-150

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428791

Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners: J. Scott Armstrong (Ed.), (2001), Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 849 pages. Hardback: ISBN: 0-7923-7930-6; $190, [UK pound]133, [euro;]210.00, Paperback: ISBN: 07923-7401-0; $95; [UK pound]66.50, [euro;]105.

Goodwin, Paul; Ord, J. Keith; Oller, Lars-Erik; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 18 (2002) 3, pp. 468-478

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428839

Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years

Lawrence, Michael; Goodwin, Paul; O'Connor, Marcus; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 22 (2006) 3, pp. 493-518

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429143

Reply to Commentaries by Flores, Önkal and Sanders

Fildes, Robert; Goodwin, Paul; Lawrence, Michael; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 1, pp. 32-34

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429150

How to Forecast: A Guide for Business: James Morrell (2001), Aldershot: Gower, xii+201 pages. ISBN 0 566 08363 0. Hardback [UK pound]55.

Goodwin, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 18 (2002) 3, pp. 463-464

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429228

The process of using a forecasting support system

Goodwin, Paul; Fildes, Robert; Lawrence, Michael; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 23 (2007) 3, pp. 391-404

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429244

Judgement in forecasting

Parackal, Mathew; Goodwin, Paul; O'Connor, Marcus - In: International Journal of Forecasting 23 (2007) 3, pp. 343-345

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429249