Showing 1 - 8 of 8
In this paper, we focus on the different methods which have been proposed in the literature to date for dealing with mixed-frequency and ragged-edge datasets: bridge equations, mixed-data sampling (MIDAS), and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) models. We discuss their performances for nowcasting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786457
As a generalization of the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and of the Error Correction Model (ECM), Banerjee and Marcellino (2009) introduced the Factor-augmented Error Correction Model (FECM). The FECM combines error-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418206
This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model specification in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g. monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious models which are based on exponential lag polynomials for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871388
This paper investigates the problem of constructing prediction regions for forecast trajectories 1 to H periods into the future—a path forecast. When the null model is only approximative, or completely unavailable, one cannot either derive the usual analytic expressions or resample from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051445
This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model specification in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g. monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious models which are based on exponential lag polynomials for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051460
In this paper we explore the forecasting performances of methods based on a pre-selection of monthly indicators from large panels of time series. After a preliminary data reduction step based on different shrinkage techniques, we compare the accuracy of principal components forecasts with that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117247
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428854