Fan, Ying; Jiao, Jian-Ling - In: International Journal of Global Energy Issues 25 (2006) 1/2, pp. 83-93
Value at risk, an effective measurement of financial risk, can be used to forecast the risk associated with oil price movements. In this paper, we propose an improved Historical Simulation Approach, EDFAAF, which is based on a former approach, HSAF. By comparing it with the HSAF approach, we...