Volatility in financial markets is asymmetric in nature with leverage effect a widely accepted market phenomenon. This paper uses exchange rate series from Ghana and Tanzania to empirically show and argue that the foreign exchange market is a 'special case' of the financial market family; for...

The paper examines the presence of structural changes in Doha Securities Market (DSM) by using GARCH models during the period 2002-2008. This issue is related to the market liberalisation reforms permitting foreign investors to enter the equity market in 2005. The analysis reveals a high risk in...

This paper conducts a comparative evaluation of the predictive performance of various Value-at-Risk (VaR) models. Special emphasis is paid to two methodologies related to the Extreme Value Theory (EVT): The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) and the Block Maxima (BM). We apply both unconditional and...

This paper is a contribution in exploring the empirical evidence of the instability in the tail behaviour returns of stock market indices, based on some developments in the analysis of structural change models. The proposed approach can jointly determine the number of structural breaks in a...

The interaction between stock market and monetary variables in Pakistan using monthly data for the last 20 years is examined. The Johansen co-integration approach is utilised to examine the equilibrium relationship between the stock price index, money supply, interest rates and a foreign...

This paper attempts an to investigate the effect of futures trading on the stability of returns on BSE Sensex by using daily observations from January 1996 to December 2007. Three statistical tests namely, Kolmogorov Smirnov 2-sample test, Wilcoxon Rank Sum test and Goldfeld Quandt tests are...

It is generally accepted that financial markets behave in a complex and unpredictable way, corroborating the Efficient Market Hypothesis. According to this hypothesis, investors cannot accurately predict future financial returns based on the information available. In this paper, we analyse the...

This paper investigates long-memory behaviour of stock returns of Egypt, Tunisa and Morrocco stock markets using daily stock price data. Results in the paper support evidence of stationary short-memory process for the returns of the three markets. Short memory of stock returns implies that most...

Given the change in oil price reflects change in observable economic fundamentals of Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) economies, in this paper non-parametric co-integration and variance bound tests are employed to decompose volatility into fundamental and non-fundamental components. Findings of...

This paper conducts a comparative evaluation of the predictive performance of various Value-at-Risk (VaR) models. Special emphasis is paid to two methodologies related to the Extreme Value Theory (EVT): The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) and the Block Maxima (BM). We apply both unconditional and...