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This paper quantifies the value of importer-exporter relationships. We show that almost 80 percent of U.S. imports take place in pre-existing relationships, with sizable heterogeneity across countries, and show that traded quantities and survival increase as relationships age. We develop a...
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innovation endogenously determines the dynamics of technology, market leadership, and trade flows, in a world with two large open …, globalization (defined as reduced trade barriers) has ambiguous effects on welfare, while, dynamically, intensified globalization … growth. Finally, our model predicts that a more globalized world entails less government intervention, thanks to innovation …
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We study the effects of unexpected changes in trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on the U.S. economy. We construct three measures of TPU based on newspaper coverage, firms' earnings conference calls, and aggregate data on tari rates. We document that increases in TPU reduce investment and activity...
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