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Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...
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The largest commercial bank stocks, ranked by total size of the balance sheet, have significantly lower risk …-adjusted returns than small- and medium-sized bank stocks, even though large banks are significantly more levered. We uncover a size … factor in the component of bank returns that is orthogonal to the standard risk factors, including small-minus-big, which has …
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I adapt the methods of Gurkaynak, Sack, and Swanson (2005) to estimate two dimensions of monetary policy during the 2009-2015 zero lower bound period in the U.S. I show that, after a suitable rotation, these two dimensions can be interpreted as "forward guidance" and "large-scale asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456855
Studies find price increases for additions to the S&P 500 index but no decreases for deletions. Additions come with good earnings news, suggesting these studies are not just measuring an indexing effect. We develop a regression discontinuity design using Russell Indices for cleaner...
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The Marshall Plan (1948-1952) was the largest aid transfer in history. This paper estimates its effects on Italy …
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Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665