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Following Giraitis, Kapetanios, and Yates (2014b), this paper uses kernel methods to estimate a seven variable time-varying (TV) vector autoregressive (VAR) model on the data set constructed by Smets and Wouters (2007). We apply an indirect inference method to map from this TV VAR to time...
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the econometric model. The last sections present some simulation and forecasting examples. The ultimate aim of MAKMODEL is …
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real economy is state-dependent and financial indicators may turn out to be useful particularly in forecasting "tail …
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factor loadings. Also, out of sample forecasting for stocks and two large portfolios indicates that the hierarchical method …
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We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
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