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On the statistical differences between binary forecasts and real-world payoffs
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 4, pp. 1228-1240
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546083
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On single point forecasts for fat-tailed variables
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Bar-Yam, Yaneer; Cirillo, Pasquale - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 2, pp. 413-422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348601