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Cost-benefit analyses require comparing costs and benefits that occur at different points in time. Doing so, however, creates conflicts between short-term considerations a discounting scheme has to be consistent with observed behaviours and long-term ethical issues a discounting scheme must not...
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This paper examines the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of tests of equal forecast accuracy when the models being compared are overlapping in the sense of Vuong (1989). Two models are overlapping when the true model con- tains just a subset of variables common to the larger sets of...
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comparable - if not better - to the one obtained using theory free "Minnesota" priors (Doan et al., 1984). Additionally, the … marginal-likelihood of the time-series model with theory founded priors - derived from the output of the Gibbs sampler - can be …
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