before the election. Our empirical results suggest that our model performs at least as well and often better than alternative …

implicitly delivers a novel method for estimating the impact of campaign spending on election outcomes: we find that an …

The 1896 presidential election between William Jennings Bryan and William McKinley has gained new salience in the wake … indicate that bank entry would have had to be very significantly slower to tip the election. There is no question that economic … election …

favor of them? We argue that re-election motives can lead politicians to take a pro-gun stance against the interests of an … them when they approach re-election. We test the predictions of the model by analyzing votes on gun-related legislation in … the U.S. Senate, in which one third of the members are up for re-election every two years. We find that senators are more …

elected MPs are more likely to switch parties after an election if they faced electoral uncertainty and experienced a narrowly …-won victory. The tendency to switch parties goes up as it becomes more lucrative to hold the post of MP. The impact of election … in the Parliament is slim). Politicians switch parties after an election to improve their ex-ante re-election probability …

general election is an endogenous policy variable in a parliamentary system. Thus, one of the interesting questions in a …