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Quantifying the value that legislators give to reelection relative to policy is crucial to understanding electoral accountability. We estimate the preferences for office and policy of members of the US Senate, using a structural approach that exploits variation in polls, position-taking and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191061
's jurisdiction increases significantly pre-election, spiking 23%, with zero equivalent move for equivalently global (but domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794651
We link future members of Congress to the de-anonymized 1940 census to offer a uniquely detailed analysis of how economically unrepresentative American politicians were in the 20th century, and why. Future members under the age of 18 in 1940 grew up in households with parents who earned more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480102
. We find that the share of voters who state a pre-election vote intention corresponding to their final vote choice … increases by 15 percentage points in the two months preceding the election. Changes in individual vote choices mostly result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480516
We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During the 2014 Italian municipal elections, we randomly assigned 26,000 voters to receive visits from city council candidates, canvassers supporting the candidates' list, or to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481628
In 2010, we informed a random set of Delhi councilors, some ineligible for re-election in their current ward, that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481883
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We evaluate the effects of the duration of legislative terms on the performance of legislators. We exploit a natural experiment in the Argentine House of Representatives where term lengths were assigned randomly. Results for various objective measures of legislative output show that longer terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464136
Political future markets, in which investors bet on election outcomes, are often thought a recent invention. Such … back to 16th Century Italy, 18th Century Britain, and 19th Century United States. In the United States, election betting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464270