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The cross-country variation in the severity of the crisis was largely determined by three fundamentals: the strength of the banking system, the real appreciation, and the international liquidity of the country. We also find that the rule that links fundamentals to the crisis severity has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471655
Mexico has experienced since 1995. Although fresh domestic bank lending dried up, tradable firms obtained financing in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471758
Mexico, a prominent liberalizer, failed to attain stellar gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the 1990s, and since … 2001 its GDP and exports have stagnated. In this paper we argue that the lack of spectacular growth in Mexico cannot be … extraordinary growth of exports and foreign domestic investment (FDI). The key to the Mexican puzzle lies in Mexico's response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468405
We present a model of endogenous institutional change that rationalizes reforms that have taken place in the context of economic crisis and drastic political change. Most of the reforms have been initiated by powerholders, even though they have ended worse off relative to the status quo. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472305
We argue that allowing for the possibility of a self-fulfilling panic helps in understanding several features of the recent Mexican crisis. Self-fulfilling expectations became decisive in generating a panic only after the government ran down gross reserves and ran up short-term dollar debt. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473285
In this paper, we derive three lessons from Mexico's experience. First, deep reforms like trade liberalization are not … elites breaks down. In the case of Mexico, this happened during a fiscal crisis, when some groups tried to displace other …, Mexico limited radical liberalization to the manufacturing sector. The government has only recently begun to undertake …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473548
In the first quarter of 1995 Mexico found itself in the grip of an intense financial panic. Foreign investors fled … Mexico despite very high interest rates on Mexican securities, an undervalued currency, and financial indicators that pointed … therefore financially vulnerable. Illiquidity exposed Mexico to a self-fulfilling panic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473740
In several countries temporary terms of trade improvements have led to a deterioration of the current account. Furthermore, many of these countries failed to attain greater post-boom growth rates. The point we make is that the structure of the fiscal process is critical in determining outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474076