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Prediction of business cycle turning points in Germany

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 1, pp. 22-43

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002537476

Prognose konjunktureller Wendepunkte in Deutschland

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 1, pp. 22-43

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005918825

Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles. An Assessment of Properties / Frühindikatoren der deutschen Konjunktur. Eine Beurteilung ihrer Eigenschaften

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 222 (2002) 3, pp. 289-315

Summary A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608883

On the significance of spectral methods : a comment

Goldrian, Georg - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 223 (2003) 3, pp. 360-364

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001757510

Leading indicators of German business cycles : an assessment of properties : eine Beurteilung ihrer Eigenschaften

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 222 (2002) 3, pp. 289-315

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001668830

Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts : evidence from a survey of professional forecasters

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gabi - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 239 (2019) 2, pp. 203-241

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023169

Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 222 (2002) 3, pp. 289-315

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005940925

The IWG Forecasting Dashboard : from forecasts to evaluation and comparison

Heinisch, Katja; Behrens, Christoph; Döpke, Jörg; … - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 244 (2024) 3, pp. 277-288

The paper describes the "Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Forecasting Dashboard (ForDas)". This tool aims at providing, on a non-commercial basis, historical and actual macroeconomic forecast data for the Germany economy to researchers and interested audiences. The database renders it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014555568