This paper offers stochastic projections of the Central Bank of Chile’s balance sheet (stocks and flows), grounded on its present deficit situation. These projections incorporate the effect on the balance sheet of some macroeconomic variables and alternative policies, taking into consideration...

Tolerating some volatility in the rate of inflation leads the design of inflation target characteristics—in inflation-targeting economies—to reflect flexibility in four dimensions, namely: the price index that defines the target, the width of the target range, the midpoint of the monetary...

This paper describes the main tools used to analyze the exchange rate in the process of conducting and analyzing the macroeconomic policies of the Chilean Central Bank (CCB). In doing so, we first describe the main methodologies used to construct real exchange rate (RER) indices, and corroborate...

This article summarizes the most salient aspects of papers presented at the Central Bank of Chile’s Tenth Annual Conference “Current Account and External Financing” held in November 2006 and soon to be edited into an upcoming book. Many works were included oriented to improve understanding...

During the last few years, large holdings of foreign assets and liabilities along with an increasing relevance of the valuation effects—capital gains or losses—have characterized global financial integration. This paper presents an empirical assessment of the implications of stocks, flows...

The ability of the Chilean economy to generate employment has been surprisingly low during 2000 and 2001. Despite output growth since August 2000, the unemployment rate has not decreased as expected. One hypothesis that has been put forward to explain this fact, supported by simple data...

This paper develops the structural budget balance methodology, adopted for use in the Chilean public sector. The structural balance methodology adjusts fiscal accounts so they reflect changes in net worth and makes it possible to isolate changes in fiscal policy resulting from the main exogenous...

Open economies, particularly emerging markets and commodity-intensive economies, deal with large external shocks. Alternative policy reactions and policy setups may dampen or amplify the consequences of these shocks, affecting the magnitude of the effects. This paper revisits the recent...

A selective revision to the theoretical and empirical literature on macroeconomic performance and central bank autonomy, yields new evidence of the relationship between the latter and the passthrough coefficient from the exchange rate to inflation. An analysis follows, from diverse viewpoints,...

This work describes the role of money in the current inflation-targeting framework in Chile, in particular given the large recent annual increase in M1A. From a conceptual standpoint, it analyzes the relationship between money growth and inflation, as well as the interpretation of movements in...