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PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY. GDP – PRODUCTION SIDE*
Klein, Lawrence R.; Roudoi, Andrei; Eskin, Vladimir; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 5, pp. 52-66
The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP … of this project were Global Insight (former DRI-WEFA – USA), the Institute of Economic Forecasting (Romania) and the … Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Economic Forecasting (Russian Federation). This publication was made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827562
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Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
Chang, Chia Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; Mcaleer, Michael - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 3, pp. 22-43
Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model, but also incorporates expert intuition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583871