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PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY. GDP – PRODUCTION SIDE*

Klein, Lawrence R.; Roudoi, Andrei; Eskin, Vladimir; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 5, pp. 52-66

The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP … of this project were Global Insight (former DRI-WEFA – USA), the Institute of Economic Forecasting (Romania) and the … Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Economic Forecasting (Russian Federation). This publication was made …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827562

IMPULSE ANALYSES OF THE ROMANIAN INFLATION

Pelinescu, Elena; Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 2 (2005) 4, pp. 5-24

This paper is organized in two parts, an overview of the evolution of inflation, highlighting the factors that influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulating and researching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827603

Alternative Measures of Core Inflation in Romania

Pelinescu, Elena; Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 5 (2008) 1, pp. 134-148

The paper intends to present synthetically the main approaches to computing core inflation, taking into consideration the importance of core inflation for conducting monetary policy. At the same time, the paper computes different measures of core inflation using methods based on excluding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827622

A MODEL TO FORECAST THE MONTHLY INFLATION IN ROMANIA

Pelinescu, Elena; Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 2 (2005) 3, pp. 37-58

This paper is organized in two parts, the presentation of the model of inflation for Romania, and the results of different scenarios starting from the base model. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for the simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772666

Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach

Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2010) 2, pp. 308-319

The paper focuses on the persistent and non-persistent changes in relative prices and their relation with the volatility of the aggregated price index. From the methodological perspective, the paper analyzes the implications of the hypotheses of five main methods for calculating core inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492984

COMBINING THE FORECASTS USING A STATISTICAL APPROACH

Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 2 (2005) 2, pp. 72-84

The paper analyzes the circumstances in which the combination of forecasts yields better results than the use of the forecasts separately. We propose a method of combining forecasts based on their efficiency on long and medium-term using as benchmarks the combination of forecasts based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612234