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The paper analyzes the circumstances in which the combination of forecasts yields better results than the use of the forecasts separately. We propose a method of combining forecasts based on their efficiency on long and medium-term using as benchmarks the combination of forecasts based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612234
The paper describes the version (2012) of the Romanian economic macromodel2. The model has been constructed taking into account the important consequences induced by the integration of the country into the European Union and by the world crisis. Some supplementary requests of the government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734660
Based on the 2012 Version of the Romanian Macromodel, the first section of this paper discusses the evolution of the Romanian economy in 2014. The previous simulations were revised taking into account the changes in the internal and external socio-economic conjuncture or in the available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122630
Estimates of the macroeconomic indicators are carried out with an econometric model which tries to estimate the medium-term evolution of the Moldovan economy. The forecast takes into account the economic influence of the main economic partners of the Republic of Moldova and the internal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558792
The paper revises the previous author’s estimates of the medium-term evolution of the Romanian economy. It is organized in three chapters. The first examines the most important crisis and post-crisis problems of Romania. The analysis is developed preponderantly from a structural point of view....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492979
This paper tests the relationship between above market returns and beta, size, leverage, book-to-market equity and earning-price ratios for the Bucharest Stock Exchange common stocks. Results from cross-sectional regressions document that both book-to-market equity and earning-price ratios are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014903
Economic time series are, in their vast majority, integrated series so, their modelling procedure stumbles upon the problem of spurious regression. When existent, cointegration is the simplest way of eliminating the illogical correlation established between time series due to the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772652
Under the conditions of OLS use in order to perform multiple linear regressions, both the estimated parameters values and also computed values of some statistical tests such as coefficient of determination, Fisher test or Student test are influenced by collinearity1. The respective influence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492982
Having in view previous contributions of the author related to the impact of collinearity on the estimated values of parameters of multifactorial linear regressions, in this paper the correlation between Student and Fisher test is emphasized and a correction of the standard computation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052127
The present paper emphasizes the differences between the Gini concentration coefficient [13] and a new bipolarization index proposed by [20], [21]. In practice, the Gini index is applied frequently to determine the poverty degree of the persons of a given population P. Although the pauperization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612298