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Testing For Nonlinearity In G7 Macroeconomic Time Series

Yavuz, Nilgün Çil; Yilanci, Veli - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 3, pp. 69-79

also show that more than half of the series are nonlinear which indicates the importance of testing the nonlinearity of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583868

TESTING FOR NONLINEARITY IN UNEMPLOYMENT RATES VIA DELAY VECTOR VARIANCE

CARAIANI, Petre - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2015) 1, pp. 81-92

We discuss the application of a new test for nonlinearity for economic time series. We apply the test for several …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265556

Introduction into Macroeconomic Modeling Foundations*

Dobrescu, Emilian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002) 5, pp. 39-88

The current paper attempts to describe the labor market parameter dynamics using a different method, namely the semi-Markovian processes. This method allows for the labor market study without the large fluctuations that occurred at a certain moment in time impinging upon the results of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827561

SCENARIOS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN ROMANIA – MEDIUM TO LONG-TERM FORECASTING MODELS

Albu, Lucian Liviu; Roudoi, Andrei - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2003) 5, pp. 64-77

mix of forecasting models, like „medium-term” ones and „long-run” models. In this respect three alternative models are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827575

FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION – A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE EU AND NON-EU MEMBER STATES

Aristovnik, Aleksander - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 5 (2008) 4, pp. 161-173

The paper’s main purpose is to assess the short-, medium- and long-term sustainability of fiscal policy in the great majority of the EU and non-EU member states in the Mediterranean Region. By using mainstream (primary fiscal gap) theory (proposed by Buiter (1983) and Blanchard (1990)), the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827581

POSSIBLE EVOLUTIONS OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY (MACROMODEL ESTIMATIONS)

Dobrescu, Emilian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2003) 5, pp. 32-63

This article presents alternative scenarios of macroeconomic dynamics for Romania. The author starts by presenting the structure of the model used for simulations. Two scenarios are developed for the 2003-2010 period. The first one, the desirable scenario, embodies performances envisaged in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827602

A Model to Forecast the Evolution of the Structure of a System of Economic Indicators

Andreica, Marin - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 3 (2006) 1, pp. 65-73

The problem of forecasting the economic systems' activity over a large time horizon is the main concern of both the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827619

THE “DOBRESCU” MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN TRANSITION ECONOMY – Yearly and Monthly Forecast

Scutaru, Cornelia; Ciupagea, Constantin; Fomin, Petre; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 2 (2005) 4, pp. 141-147

The paper presents the yearly and monthly forecast of the Romanian transition economy performed on the basis of the “Dobrescu” macromodel.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827625

THE DOBRESCU MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN TRANSITION ECONOMY – YEARLY AND MONTHLY FORECAST

Scutaru, Cornelia; Ciupagea, Constantin; Fomin, Petre - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2003) 3, pp. 135-138

The paper presents the yearly and monthly forecast of the Romanian transition economy performed on the basis of the “Dobrescu” macromodel.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827629

Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception

Albu, Lucian Liviu; Gorun, Adrian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2010) 5, pp. 7-16

Macroeconomic forecasting started around the Second World War as a way to test economic theories, but it also has a …. During the last decades, the economic forecasting and macroeconomic modelling have taken on an increasingly important role in … presenting synthetically the last trends in forecasting and macroeconomic modelling. The next part is devoted to show how new …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321269