Drawing on the asymmetric growth experiences of the advanced, emerging, and the underdeveloped economies, this paper explores the scope of learning effects via North-South trade by offering quantitative measures of coefficient of differences in trade. Constructing technology appropriation...

The accession of twelve Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) to the European Union (in 2004 and 2007) has given rise to new challenges in evaluating the effects of integration, for both the old and the new member states. These issues can only be addressed in a consistent, economy-wide...

In this study I apply a simple DSGE model to forecast the quarterly Romanian GDP. The forecast is based on the posterior distribution of the model parameters resulted from the Bayesian estimation. The forecast for the 2006-2007 period shows that the realized GDP is within the confidence interval...

In this study, I estimate a monetary DSGE model using Bayesian techniques and I use the estimated model to forecast the Romanian GDP in the long run. For the 2008-2010 period, the forecasts with the model confirm the present consensus among the economists about a growth potential of 5 to 6% for...

The tail events represent a phenomenon long studied in the literature of stock market returns. The dynamical properties of conditional distributions are currently analyzed by means of the first four moments via Gram-Charlier likelihood functions. We propose an analysis of changes in the values...

This paper dwells upon the contingent claims analysis (CCA) framework in order to quantify the risk of financial distress at the level of the sectors of economy (banking, sovereign and corporate sector). After the CCA risk indicators have been obtained for the three analyzed sectors, a global...

Based on the 2012 Version of the Romanian Macromodel, the first section of this paper discusses the evolution of the Romanian economy in 2014. The previous simulations were revised taking into account the changes in the internal and external socio-economic conjuncture or in the available...

Corporate credit ratings have become more important after the 2008 financial crisis. To explore the mystery, we employ the ordered probit regression models to examine the relationship between the credit rating and financial ratios in electric utilities, chemicals and communications equipment...

The paper describes the version (2012) of the Romanian economic macromodel2. The model has been constructed taking into account the important consequences induced by the integration of the country into the European Union and by the world crisis. Some supplementary requests of the government...

The paper analyzes the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Romania focusing on the exchange rate channel. The analysis is made in the context of an economy described by a mix of institutional and market behaviors illustrated by a SVAR model in which the restrictions imposed on the...