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Competitiveness and Corruption in Romania - Forecasting in the Context of the Romanian Integration into the European Union
Ogrean, Claudia; Herciu, Mihaela - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 3 (2006) 2, pp. 72-88
Competitiveness and corruption are now - more than ever before - two real challenges for Romania on its way to the European integration. The theoretical approaches to those concepts did not get to a unanimous and happy end and the real figures that evaluate them are not at all pleasing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248497
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OUT-OF-SAMPLE FORECASTING PERFORMANCE OF A ROBUST NEURAL EXCHANGE RATE MODEL OF RON/USD
SAMAN, Corina - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2015) 1, pp. 93-106
This paper aims to explore the forecasting accuracy of RON/USD exchange rate structural models with monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265554
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Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
Chang, Chia Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; Mcaleer, Michael - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 3, pp. 22-43
Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model, but also incorporates expert intuition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583871
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PREVISIONAL ESTIMATES OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY IN 2001 - THE "DOBRESCU" MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN TRANSITION ECONOMY
Scutaru, Cornelia - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002) 2, pp. 30-38
The study comprises previsional estimates for the Romanian economy in 2001 using the "Dobrescu" macromodel of the Romanian transition economy. The main economic indicators are monthly estimated for 2001 simulating a Rational Scenario and a Quasi-Lax Scenario. The indicators are: gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612244
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QUARTERLY GDP DATA CORRECTION USING PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS ANALYSIS. THE CASE OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY – GDP EXPENDITURES SIDE*
Klein, Lawrence R.; Roudoi, Andrei; Eskin, Vladimir; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 5, pp. 5-34
The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP … research partners of this project were Global Insight (former DRI-WEFA – USA), the Institute of Economic Forecasting (Romania …) and the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Economic Forecasting (Russian Federation). This publication was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827560
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PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY. GDP – PRODUCTION SIDE*
Klein, Lawrence R.; Roudoi, Andrei; Eskin, Vladimir; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 5, pp. 52-66
The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP … of this project were Global Insight (former DRI-WEFA – USA), the Institute of Economic Forecasting (Romania) and the … Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Economic Forecasting (Russian Federation). This publication was made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827562
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PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY. STUDY OF THE OIL PRICE IMPACT UPON GDP*
Klein, Lawrence R.; Roudoi, Andrei; Eskin, Vladimir; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 5, pp. 67-80
research partners of this project were Global Insight (former DRI-WEFA – USA), the Institute of Economic Forecasting (Romania …) and the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Economic Forecasting (Russian Federation). This publication was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772665
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PREDICTABILITY AND COMPLEXITY IN MACROECONOMICS. THE CASE OF GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION IN THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY
Scutaru, Cornelia; Saman, Corina; Stanica, Cristian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 5 (2008) 4, pp. 196-205
data are obtained, then use this predictable sources to construct a forecasting model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248495
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The Relation between Predictability and Complexity: Domestic and Public Consumption in the Romanian Economy
Scutaru, Cornelia; Saman, Corina; Stanica, Cristian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 6 (2009) 3, pp. 34-46
We continue with the problem of the relation between predictability and complexity in the Romanian economy, analyzing other two components of GDP: domestic consumption and public consumption. The basic idea of this work is that the unpredictability of a system gives a measure of its complexity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472205
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THE “DOBRESCU” MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN TRANSITION ECONOMY – Yearly and Monthly Forecast
Scutaru, Cornelia; Ciupagea, Constantin; Fomin, Petre; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 2, pp. 123-126
The paper presents the yearly and monthly forecast of the Romanian transition economy performed on the basis of the “Dobrescu” macromodel.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248483