Showing 1 - 10 of 63
In order to obtain plausible scenarios of economic development in Romania up to 2010-2015 horizon, the authors use a mix of forecasting models, like „medium-term” ones and „long-run” models. In this respect three alternative models are used, a sustainability function model (for public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827575
The author argues that the Russian economy has unique features that make the application of standard macroeconomic models problematic. He supports the idea of developing new instruments of analysis and forecasting of social and economic development of the Russian economy. The proposed modelling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612212
The paper analyzes the dynamics and structure of GDP in Romania during the transition period. Two simulation scenarios are proposed on the basis of a standard production function. The first simulation uses an augmented production function with FDI and exports, while the second simulation uses a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612253
The paper specifically focuses on the impact of reforms to see whether there has been any shift in the differential elasticity of substitution between labour and capital in Indian industry. The main conclusion of the paper is that there are differential elasticities of substitution between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472213
The new (2002) version of the "Pre-Accession Economic Program" has to take into account both the experience accumulated in the implementation of its previous (2001) form, and the changes occurred during 2001-2002 in the domestic and international environment, which have affected the Romanian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248485
The first section attempts to define the main problems, taking into account that the productive performance of the Romanian economy is affected by a double constraint – both from a supply side and the from the demand side. Four essential factors are identified on the supply side: the existence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248501
New materials have been recognized as significant drivers for corporate growth and profitability in today’s fast changing environments. The nanosized ceramic powders played important parts in new materials field nowadays. However, little has been done in discussing the technology forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827572
This article presents alternative scenarios of macroeconomic dynamics for Romania. The author starts by presenting the structure of the model used for simulations. Two scenarios are developed for the 2003-2010 period. The first one, the desirable scenario, embodies performances envisaged in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827602
The purpose of this paper is to present a Romanian CGE model and to test it in drafting a macroeconomic scenario towards 2010. The authors review the main assumptions underlying the CGE model. They calibrate the model, using data from National Accounts for the year 2002. They find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772654
In this paper, we investigate the relevance of the Balassa-Samuelson effect to the determination of regional inflation in China, for the period 1985 – 2000. To do this, we first construct annual measures of Chinese inflation and industry input on regional and sectoral basis. Then we generalise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492965