Lin, Jin-Lung; Tsay, Ruey S - In: Journal of Applied Econometrics 11 (1996) 5, pp. 519-38
Does co-integration help long-term forecasts? In this paper, we use simulation, real data sets, and multi-step-ahead post-sample forecasts to study this question. Based on the square root of the trace of forecasting error-covariance matrix, we found that for simulated data imposing the 'correct'...