Schmidt, Patrick; Katzfuss, Matthias; Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of Applied Econometrics 36 (2021) 6, pp. 728-743
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We extend methodology for the identification of the functional based on time series of point forecasts and associated realizations. Focusing on state‐dependent quantiles and expectiles, we...