This paper considers estimation of an unknown distribution parameter in situations where we believe that the parameter belongs to a finite interval. We propose for such situations an interval shrinkage approach which combines in a coherent way an unbiased conventional estimator and non-sample...

The dates of the U.S. business cycle are reported by the National Bureau of Economic Research with a considerable delay, so an early notion of turning points is of particular interest. This paper proposes a novel sequential classification approach designed for timely signaling these turning...