Schmidt, Alexandra Mello; Gamerman, Dani; Moreira, Ajax - In: Journal of Applied Statistics 26 (1999) 5, pp. 619-641
Bayesian dynamic linear models (DLMs) are useful in time series modelling, because of the flexibility that they off er for obtaining a good forecast. They are based on a decomposition of the relevant factors which explain the behaviour of the series through a series of state parameters....