, such as war and genocide? To what extent should researchers trust narratives that are generated in politically sensitive …

community that experienced violence during Rwanda's 1994 genocide, I show that individual participation in the violence was …

Contemporary studies of genocide have found military capabilities to be inconsistent predictors of state …. We hypothesize that unconstrained leaders are more likely to use their putative security forces to initiate genocide and … remain in power. An analysis of state failures that lead to genocide robustly supports the idea that the effect of increased …

Results of a research project with household-level data on the demographic impact of genocide and civil war in Rwanda … household survey project before the genocide. The absolute number of Hutu killed in the sample is half of the number of Tutsi …

We present what is, to the best of our knowledge, the first published set of annual out-of-sample forecasts of genocide … unconditional two-stage model encompassing both instability and genocide, allowing our sample to be the available global data ….9% of genocide onsets correctly while also predicting 79.2% of non-onset years correctly, an improvement over a previous …

the small body of subnational studies, but focuses on a high-intensity conflict – the Rwandan genocide. In particular …

Rwanda’s 1994 genocide. I find that participants are likely to live either in the same neighbourhood or in the same …