Showing 1 - 10 of 58
This article reflects on the importance of linking micro and macro levels of analysis in order to advance our current understanding of civil wars and political violence processes and discusses the contributions of the articles in this special issue. We first identify the main problems in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011136125
In spite of its long history among scholars of international conflict, empirical evaluations of diversionary theory have produced contrasting—even contradictory— results. We offer three reasons for these differences: choice of unit of analysis; failure to model the reciprocal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367597
military capabilities and war outcomes. Drawing on scholarship that conceptualizes revolutions as a unique class of modernizing … more successful war outcomes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553083
Theories of civil war usually theorize the choices of civilians and combatants without considering the institutional … context in which they interact. Despite common depictions of war as chaotic and anarchic, order often emerges locally … wartime institutions can contribute to our study of civil war both at the micro and macro levels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942428
One dominant explanation for why crises escalate to war is based on misperception. Alternative rational explanations … for why crises escalate to war are examined, including commitment problems, the cost of revealing military advantages, and … a desire for greater future gains. These explanations for war argue that states are likely to prefer a military to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010801265
In a recent article in this journal, Smith and Stam (2004) call into question the usefulness and applicability of what is know as the common priors assumption in the modeling of countries' strategic behavior in international relations. While the authors of this comment acknowledge that it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010801351
or encourage war between those two states? Distortions of both theory and evidence—mixing balances of power with … approximate parity in power capabilities encouraged war between great power disputants between 1816 and 1989. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010801480
, should a war between them continue to a decisive conclusion. The players' divergent beliefs make up one of the fundamental … potential causes of war in the model. Fey and Ramsay argue that Smith and Stam's departure from the standard common priors … rational actors with divergent beliefs might settle their disagreements in the context of war. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010802225
In this article, the authors investigate the relationship between states'political leaders'ages, their regime type, and the likelihood of militarized dispute initiation and escalation. They examine more than 100,000 interstate dyads between 1875 and 2002 to systematically test the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010802285
The authors analyze a bargaining model of war that incorporates both commitment problems due to shifting power and … information models, the resolution of uncertainty through fighting can lead to the continuation of war rather than its termination …. Second, wars can be less—not more—likely to end in settlement the longer they last. Third, war aims increase over time as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294397