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This article examines how the relationship between ethnic polarization and civil war could be moderated by different … as high at low levels of polarization compared to when salience is permitted to vary, with the difference decreasing at … high levels of polarization; (2) the relationship between conflict onset and the range over which we calculate variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010801319
This article investigates whether vote-buying and the instigation of violence in the disputed 2007 Kenyan elections were strategically motivated and whether those affected by vote-buying or post-electoral violence changed their views toward ethnopolitics and the use of violence. To answer these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011136119
The conventional wisdom is that for a democracy to be consolidated, all groups must have a chance to attain power. If they do not, then they will subvert democracy and choose to fight for power. In this article, the authors show that this wisdom is seriously incomplete because it considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294403
Important gaps remain in the understanding of the economic consequences of civil war. Focusing on the conflict in Rwanda in the early 1990s, and using micro data, this article finds that households and localities that experienced more intense conflict are lagging behind in terms of consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268191
International organizations (IOs) frequently link their military interventions with democratization efforts in the target state. However, existing research suggests that these attempts often fail. This article analyzes the conditions under which interventions by IOs shorten or prolong civil war...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654082
Third-party states consider the regional destabilization consequences of civil wars when deciding to intervene. However, previous work implicitly assumes that potential interveners base their intervention decisions solely on their links to the civil war country. This approach is unlikely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654083
What are the impacts of war on the participants, and do they vary by gender? Are ex-combatants damaged pariahs who threaten social stability, as some fear? Existing theory and evidence are both inconclusive and focused on males. New data and a tragic natural quasi-experiment in Uganda allow us...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654085
In the post—cold war period, civil wars are increasingly likely to end with peace settlements brokered by international actors who press for early elections. However, elections held soon after wars end, when political institutions remain weak, are associated with an increased likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294394
This article highlights a nefarious effect of elections during civil wars by demonstrating that they can facilitate the displacement of civilians. In contrast to the perception of displacement as haphazard, the author argues that armed groups displace strategically when they attempt to gain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294395
This article distinguishes between ‘‘direct’’ and ‘‘indirect’’ violence during civil wars. These two types differ in their forms of production: while indirect violence is unilaterally perpetrated by an armed group, direct violence is jointly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294398