Showing 1 - 10 of 173
This paper studies robust inference in unit root and cointegration models. The analysis covers a range of important …, and testing for cointegration. We analyze these inference problems in a unified regression framework, although separate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664707
We develop a set of nonparametric rank tests for non-stationary panels based on multivariate variance ratios which use untruncated kernels. As such, the tests do not require the choice of tuning parameters associated with bandwidth or lag length and also do not require choices with respect to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190711
In this paper, I introduce a simple test for the presence of the data-generating process among several non-nested alternatives. The test is an extension of the classical J test for non-nested regression models. I also provide a bootstrap version of the test that avoids possible size distortions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574095
We develop a nonparametric test to check whether a process can be represented by a stochastic differential equation driven only by a Brownian motion. Our testing procedure utilizes the infinitesimal operator-based martingale characterization combined with a generalized spectral approach. Such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608470
Detecting structural changes in volatility is important for understanding volatility dynamics and stylized facts observed for financial returns such as volatility persistence. We propose modified CUSUM and LM tests that are built on a robust estimator of the long-run variance of squared series....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608474
We propose a fast resample method for two step nonlinear parametric and semiparametric models, which does not require recomputation of the second stage estimator during each resample iteration. The fast resample method directly exploits the score function representations computed on each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753478
We propose a rank-test of the null hypothesis of short memory stationarity possibly after linear detrending.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594957
This paper explores the properties of jackknife methods of estimation in stationary autoregressive models. Some general results concerning the correct weights for bias reduction under various sampling schemes are provided and the asymptotic properties of a jackknife estimator based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594961
There is compelling evidence that many macroeconomic and financial variables are not generated by linear models. This evidence is based on testing linearity against either smooth nonlinearity or piece-wise linearity, but there is no framework that encompasses both. This paper provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594973
This paper investigates the spurious effect in forecasting asset returns when signals from technical trading rules are used as predictors. Against economic intuition, the simulation result shows that, even if past information has no predictive power, buy or sell signals based on the difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664685