Quasi-maximum-likelihood (QML) estimation of a model combining cointegration in the conditional mean and rare large shocks (outliers) with a factor structure in the innovations is studied. The goal is not only to robustify inference on the conditional-mean parameters, but also to find...

Many key economic and financial series are bounded either by construction or through policy controls. Conventional unit root tests are potentially unreliable in the presence of bounds, since they tend to over-reject the null hypothesis of a unit root, even asymptotically. So far, very little...

In this paper we consider tests for the null of (trend-) stationarity against the alternative of a change in persistence at some (known or unknown) point in the observed sample, either from I(0) to I(1) behaviour or vice versa, of, inter alia, [Kim, J., 2000. Detection of change in persistence...

Many key macroeconomic and financial variables are characterized by permanent changes in unconditional volatility. In this paper we analyse vector autoregressions with non-stationary (unconditional) volatility of a very general form, which includes single and multiple volatility breaks as...