This paper presents empirical evidence that bank lending, and capital inflows can explain the severity of the Asian crisis of 1997 above and beyond macroeconomic fundamentals. We find that countries that share Japanese banks as their major lender with Thailand, the first victim in the Asian...

This paper uses a simple open economy interest rate determination model to empirically examine an important aspect of pre-crisis monetary and exchange rate policy. It investigates whether sterilization of the reserve effects of capital inflows helped keep interest rates sufficiently high that...

In this paper we attempt to examine the issue of sustainability of current account imbalances in eight East Asia countries using the latest developments in nonstationary panel data analysis. The methods of nonstationary time series panels provide a much more promising explanation than would an...

There is a vast empirical literature rejecting uncovered interest parity(UIP) on the basis of regressions of the actual exchange rate change against the forward premium/discount. In this paper, whilst we confirm the conventional regression analyses, we argue that they constitute only an indirect...

The exchange rate arrangement represents an important policy choice for emerging and transitional economies as they strive to become stable and marketdriven. A wide variety of arrangements have emerged, ranging from currency boards, basket-currency pegs and single-currency pegs to floating...

This article examines the consequences and policy implications of the Asian crisis. It discusses the way in which the crisis unfolded through 1997 and provids a typology of the potential effects of the crisis. It also discusses the general impact the crisis has made on the global economy...

This paper, which relies on a dynamic conditional correlation model covering eight years of daily data for twelve equity markets in the Middle East and North Africa, examines the dynamic behaviour of equity returns and the response to international and regional stress periods. We assess whether...

We assess whether renouncing monetary policy autonomy becomes a cost of currency integration under labor mobility in the framework of the New Open Economy Macroeconomics. Assuming Nash equilibrium among central banks of candidate countries, we find that the forfeiture of monetary policy autonomy...

We present new evidence on the use of leverage by hedge funds and on how this changed following Russia’s default and the near failure of Long-Term Capital Management in the summer and fall of 1998. We use regression techniques and survey data to analyze how leverage varies with fund...

This paper examines the dynamics of the real and nominal exchange rate for India with respect to its major trade partners, viz., the US, UK, Germany, Japan, France, Canada and Belgium. We test (i) the cross correlations between the nominal exchange rate and the relative price levels and between...