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Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling
Ng, Serena; Wright, Jonathan H. - In: Journal of Economic Literature 51 (2013) 4, pp. 1120-54
This paper provides a survey of business cycle facts, updated to take account of recent data. Emphasis is given to the Great Recession, which was unlike most other postwar recessions in the United States in being driven by deleveraging and financial market factors. We document how recessions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815456
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Exchange Rate Predictability
Rossi, Barbara - In: Journal of Economic Literature 51 (2013) 4, pp. 1063-1119
The main goal of this article is to provide an answer to the question: does anything forecast exchange rates, and if so … choice of predictor, forecast horizon, sample period, model, and forecast evaluation method. Predictability is most apparent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815459