There is a debate on the excess volatility of long-term bond yields. It is found that whether long-term bond yields are excessively volatile or excessively smooth depends critically on the knowledge of the long-run properties of the short-term interest rate process. Uses a span of 200 years of...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest rates for five inflation-targeting countries. Design/methodology/approach – The approach takes the form of a time-varying parameter model with a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional...

This article examines income tax progression as a mechanism for achieving the intertemporal adjustments of earnings profiles. With a rising income profile, the preference for progression arises from the market (borrowing) rate of interest exceeding the rate at which the government borrows. For a...

Discusses a number of issues put forward by the other authors in this volume. In particular considers the potential role of real interest rates in unemployment models, the importance of the trade balance and related constraints in open economy models and the uniqueness and stability of...

Examines the causal relationship between interest rates, savings and income in the Chinese economy over the period 1952 to 1999, using the cointegration test and Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) for empirical testing. The empirical evidence from the cointegration test confirms that there is...

This paper derives the optimal monetary policy under discretion, taking into account that aggregate spending depends on the long‐term real interest rate rather than on the short‐term rate. It deduces optimal shock‐dependent strategies for the monetary instrument, the nominal interest rate...

Investigates the hypothesis of increased financial integration within the European Union (EU) based on an examination of covered and nominal interest rate differentials between March 1979 and August 1992 using cointegration and time-varying parameter econometric techniques. Discovers evidence of...

This paper derives the optimal monetary policy under discretion, taking into account that aggregate spending depends on the long-term real interest rate rather than on the short-term rate. It deduces optimal shock-dependent strategies for the monetary instrument, the nominal interest rate and...

Examines the causal relationship between interest rates, savings and income in the Chinese economy over the period 1952 to 1999, using the cointegration test and Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) for empirical testing. The empirical evidence from the cointegration test confirms that there is...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study if the central bank (BC) communications affect the effectiveness of the monetary policy. Design/methodology/approach – For this analysis, a new Keynesian theoretical model and the ordinary least squared methodology were used. The objective to...