Showing 1 - 10 of 10
of consequences, η:Δ→[0,∞] is an ambiguity index, and Δ is the set of priors over the state space S. This representation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263584
The de Finetti Theorem on exchangeable predictive priors is generalized to a framework where preference is represented by Choquet expected utility with respect to a belief function (a special capacity). The resulting model provides behavioral foundations for the decision-maker's subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263610
We study the market implications of ambiguity in common models. We show that generic determinacy is a robust feature in … general equilibrium models that allow a distinction between ambiguity and risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594326
theory under ambiguity and the minimax approach of robust statistics – e.g., Blum and Rosenblatt (1967) [10] – has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665750
Experts are asked to provide their advice in a situation of uncertainty. They adopt the decision makerʼs utility function, but each has a potentially different set of prior probabilities, and so does the decision maker. The decision maker and the experts maximize the minimal expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042915
from convex (through randomization) sets, and connects them by defining a behavioral notion of perceived ambiguity …. Substantively, a main idea is to behaviorally identify ambiguity with failures of independence of irrelevant alternatives. Regarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042942
of ambiguity, there exists an equilibrium with inertia where agents also insure fully against Knightian uncertainty. When … the level of ambiguity exceeds a critical threshold, full insurance no longer prevails and there exist equilibria with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042950
In the framework of dynamic choice under uncertainty, we define dynamic stability as a combination of two assumptions prevalent in the literature: dynamic consistency and the requirement that updated preferences have the same “structure” as ex ante ones. Dynamic stability also turns out to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042961
We model decision making under ambiguity based on available data. Decision makers express preferences over actions and … perceived ambiguity). We identify the subjectively perceived ambiguity and separate it into ambiguity due to a limited number of … observations and ambiguity due to data heterogeneity. The special case of no ambiguity provides a behavioral foundation for beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043018
We analyze a market populated by expected utility maximizers and smooth ambiguity-averse consumers. We study conditions … under which ambiguity-averse consumers survive and affect prices in the limit. If ambiguity vanishes with time or if the … economy exhibits no aggregate risk, ambiguity-averse consumers survive, but have no long-run impact on prices. In both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189747