Goldrian, Georg; Lehne, Birgit - In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer … 218 (1999) 3+4, pp. 309-324
The usual estimation methods provide only a blurred picture of the cyclical development for the current values of a time series, the section that is of most interest for short-term economic analysis. As an alternative, an approach to identify first signs of a development toward a cyclical...