We study the relationship between order flow and volatility. To this end we develop a comprehensive framework that simultaneously controls for the effects of macro announcements and order flow on prices and the effect of macro announcements on volatility. Using high-frequency 30-year U.S....

This paper aims at improved accuracy in testing for long-run predictability in noisy series, such as stock market returns. Long-horizon regressions have previously been the dominant approach in this area. We suggest an alternative method that yields more accurate results. We find evidence of...

This paper investigates the informational effect of trading and market segmentation on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) paying particular attention to the recent phenomenon: fleeting orders.11Consistent with Hasbrouck and Saar (2009), fleeting orders are defined as non-marketable limit...

Momentum returns have time-varying exposures to the three Fama and French equity risk factors. In particular factor loadings are higher when the factor returns during the ranking period are higher. In this study we look at momentum returns after hedging these time-varying exposures to the Fama...

Little is known about the joint dynamics of volume across the various contingent claims on the equity market. We study the time-series of trading activity in the cash S&P 500 index and its derivatives (options, the legacy and E-mini futures contracts, and the ETF), and consider their dynamic...

Using three natural experiments, we test the hypothesis that investor overconfidence produces overpricing of high idiosyncratic volatility stocks in the presence of binding short-sale constraints. We study three events: IPO lockup expirations, option introductions, and the 2008 short-sale ban on...

We explain price and earnings momentum by investigating dynamics of cash flow (CF) news and discount rate (DR) news. We find that before the holding period, winners experience higher DR news than losers, which makes winners display lower ex-ante expected returns than losers. Momentum returns...

The distress risk explanation of the size effect implies that payment for distress risk ought to occur in up market periods, not in down market periods where distress risk ought to depress the price of securities with such risk. We find that, given the influence of the market beta, the...

In this paper, we examine the effects of expected and surprise components in Federal funds target rate changes on realized and implied volatility. We find that surprise changes in the target rate significantly increase volatility. Consistent with the efficient market hypothesis, our analysis...

This paper represents the first attempt to apply a stochastic dominance (SD) approach to examine the efficiency of the UK covered warrants market. Our empirical analyses reveal that neither covered warrants nor their underlying shares stochastically dominate the other, indicating the...