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We study the ability of three-factor affine term-structure models to extract conditional volatility using interest rate swap yields for 1991-2005 and Treasury yields for 1970-2003. For the Treasury sample, the correlation between model-implied and EGARCH volatility is between 60% and 75%. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005362570
This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options, in which the volatility of returns consists of two components. One is a long-run component and can be modeled as fully persistent. The other is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model can be viewed as an affine version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005376670
We build a new class of discrete-time models that are relatively easy to estimate using returns and/or options. The distribution of returns is driven by two factors: dynamic volatility and dynamic jump intensity. Each factor has its own risk premium. The models significantly outperform standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587980
The cross section of stock returns has substantial exposure to risk captured by higher moments of market returns. We estimate these moments from daily Standard & Poor's 500 index option data. The resulting time series of factors are genuinely conditional and forward-looking. Stocks with high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593823
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005478148