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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011817602
This paper proposes a new forecasting method in which the cointegration rank switches at unknown times. In this method, time series observations are divided into several segments, and a cointegrated vector autoregressive model is fitted to each segment. The goodness of fit of the global model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709113