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indices from countries that China net imports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743972
We fit a factor model to two monthly panels of deflated prices of energy, metals and agricultural commodities. Prices consistently display a tendency to revert towards the factor, though the speed of reversion to the factor is slow. Using both in- and out-of-sample metrics, we compare the factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048529