This paper investigates the dynamics of the real exchange rate and relative output among the US and five of its top six trading partners since the collapse of Bretton Woods. It employs long-run restrictions to identify the usual suspect macroeconomic shocks and their relative importance for...

We investigate the intertemporal hedging demands for stocks and bonds for investors in the U.S., Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and U.K. Using the methodology of Campbell etal. [Campbell, J.Y., Chan, Y.L., Viceira, L.M., 2003a. A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation....

We explore whether economic links via trade affect aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We find that market return indices from countries that China net imports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon. The stock returns of countries that China net...

The LIBOR–OIS spread is a closely monitored indicator of the financial health of economy. Previous research has used this spread to identify and anticipate abrupt changes in financial markets. Taylor and Williams (2009) refer to the drastic increase in the US LIBOR–OIS spread on August 7th,...