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This paper simultaneously analyzes wake-up-call and pure contagion of sovereign risk in the Eurozone during its recent … financial crisis. Pure contagion of sovereign risk means the transmission of negative effects after a shock to a country which …-up-call contagion is defined as the change of sovereign risk pricing by market participants after negative events in a single country or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939662
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for fifty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other economic fundamentals over 2005–10. We focus in particular on five countries in the South-West Eurozone Periphery, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain. Dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048536
European countries. The approach allows to distinguish two channels of contagion by identifying bailout and sovereign risk … generates a persistent decrease in the default risk of the US banking sector. The bank-sovereign risk contagion is stronger in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048448
spreads reflect breaks in the instantaneous shock propagation mechanisms between the spreads (contagion), changing dynamical … shock propagation mechanisms is introduced. Our results show that although contagion appears as the single most important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906595
By studying the cross-country incidence of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, we document a structural break in the way emerging economies responded to the global shock. Contrary to popular perceptions, emerging economies suffered growth collapses (relative to the pre-crisis levels)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603324
We examine the impact of news about Greece and news about a Greek bailout on bank stock prices in 2010 using data for 48 European banks. We identify the twenty days with extreme returns on Greek sovereign bonds and categorise the news events during those days into news about Greece and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010869453
-directional causality between ratings and spreads within 1–2 weeks; spillover effects especially among EMU countries and from lower rated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048514
We investigate how split ratings influence the information content of credit rating events on the sovereign bond … markets during 2000–2012. We find that market reactions are far stronger for negative events on the inferior ratings and for … positive events on the superior ratings. Such evidence suggests aversion of market participants to the ambiguity inherent in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263957
contagion hypothesis through the liquidity channel on stock-bond relationships of the US and five European countries before and … effect as a source of contagion for the majority of countries. Nevertheless, we uncover evidence of investor induced … contagion sourced by the portfolio rebalancing effect for correlations involving Spanish and Italian bonds during the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077102
The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208918