Lothian, James R.; Wu, Liuren - In: Journal of International Money and Finance 30 (2011) 3, pp. 448-473
We study the validity of uncovered interest-rate parity by constructing ultra-long time series that span two centuries. The forward-premium regressions yield positive slope estimates over the whole sample. The estimates become negative only when the sample is dominated by the period of 1980s. We...