The global financial crisis has led to a revival of the empirical literature on current account imbalances. This paper contributes to that literature by investigating the importance of evaluating model and parameter uncertainty prior to reaching any firm conclusion. We explore three alternative...

In a panel covering a large number of countries from 1970 to 2003, we show that population ageing, institutions, money and deviations from the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) influence developments in net capital flows. Population ageing is associated with net equity inflows, net outflows in...

This paper argues that a stable broad money demand for the euro area over the period 1980–2011 can be obtained by modelling cross border international portfolio allocation. As a consequence, model-based excess liquidity measures, namely the difference between actual M3 growth (net of the...