Fox, Gerald T. - In: Journal of Macroeconomics 34 (2012) 3, pp. 891-902
, and Iraq/Afghanistan conflicts. Inflation, unemployment, war rallies, and soldier casualties are systematic factors upon … time consistent in all three episodes, with an inflation target of zero and an unemployment target close to the natural … unemployment rate. This implies that wartime macroeconomic overheating likely causes popularity to decline. …