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availability and conflict is assumed to be more immediate and direct. Using the parameter of rainfall variability to explore the … events, the frequency of these events increases in periods of extreme rainfall variation, irrespective of the sign of the … rainfall change. Further, these results lend support to both a ‘zero-sum’ narrative, where conflicting groups use force and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654064
will lead to future conflict. This article addresses whether deviations from normal rainfall patterns affect the propensity … normal rainfall patterns on various types of conflict. The results indicate that rainfall variability has a significant … effect on both large-scale and smaller-scale instances of political conflict. Rainfall correlates with civil war and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654056
growth reduces the probability of civil war and the vulnerability to climate change. Climate change increases the probability … of civil war. The impacts of climate change, civil war and civil war in the neighbouring countries reduce economic growth … Scenarios (SRES) is used as the baseline, thus assuming rapid economic growth in Africa and convergence of African living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654047
Mediation is one of the few mechanisms the international community can deploy that will affect civil wars. This article introduces the dataset on mediation in civil wars - termed the Civil War Mediation (CWM) dataset. This is the first dataset to focus solely on civil war mediation. These data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372048
Why and when do states take the burden upon themselves to send peacekeepers into a civil war, rather than relying on intergovernmental organizations to do so? While there are a few empirical studies on the conditions under which the UN sends peacekeeping missions, no such analyses of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367561
This article examines the relationship between economic openness and internal conflict. The article first discusses different theoretical perspectives on how openness affects a country's internal stability and how internal conflict affects openness. Next, empirical estimates of the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367564
It is very common to analyse the factors associated with the onset and continuation of civil wars entirely separately, as if there were likely to be no similarity between them. This is an overstatement of the theoretical position, which has established only that they may be different (i.e. less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367567
Multilateral and diplomatic resolutions to intrastate conflicts are the preferred method of termination. However, mediated settlements tend toward failure and conflict recurrence. A significant factor in this failure is that government and groups are heterogeneous. While the demands, goals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367574
Contributions to the quantitative civil war literature increasingly rely on geo-referenced data and disaggregated research designs. While this is a welcome trend, it necessitates geographic information systems (GIS) skills and imposes new challenges for data collection and analysis. So far,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555887
While the study of the causes of civil war is a well-established subdiscipline in international relations, the effects of civil war on society remain less understood. Yet, such effects could have crucial implications for long-term stability and democracy in a country after the reaching of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010792887