will lead to future conflict. This article addresses whether deviations from normal rainfall patterns affect the propensity … normal rainfall patterns on various types of conflict. The results indicate that rainfall variability has a significant … effect on both large-scale and smaller-scale instances of political conflict. Rainfall correlates with civil war and …

availability and conflict is assumed to be more immediate and direct. Using the parameter of rainfall variability to explore the … events, the frequency of these events increases in periods of extreme rainfall variation, irrespective of the sign of the … rainfall change. Further, these results lend support to both a ‘zero-sum’ narrative, where conflicting groups use force and …