Chari, V. V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - In: Journal of Political Economy 111 (2003) 6, pp. 1262-1292
Recent empirical work on financial crises documents that crises tend to occur when macroeconomic fundamentals are weak; but even after conditioning on an exhaustive list of fundamentals, a sizable random component to crises and associated capital flows remains. We develop a model of herd...