Chávez, Diego; Contreras-Reyes, Javier E.; … - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 16 (2023) 1, pp. 1-15
In this paper, an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model with threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (TGARCH) innovations is considered to model Chilean economic uncertainty time series. Uncertainty is measured through the Business Confidence Index (BCI) and...