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Prospect theory is the most popular theory for predicting decisions under risk. This paper investigates its predictive power for decisions under ambiguity, using its specification through the source method. We find that it outperforms its most popular alternatives, including subjective expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010863453
Experimental investigations of non-expected utility have primarily concentrated on decision under risk ("probability triangles"). The literature suggests, however, that ambiguity is one of the main causes for deviations from expected utility (EU). This article investigates the descriptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709742
This article discusses relations between several notions of continuity in rank-dependent utility, and in the generalized version of rank-dependent utility as initiated by Segal. Primarily, examples are given to show logical independencies between these notions of continuity. This also leads to...
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This paper presents a method for axiomatizing a variety of models for decision making under uncertainty, including Expected Utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory. This method identifies, for each model, the situations that permit consistent inferences about the ordering of value differences....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005809699
Cumulative prospect theory was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman so as to combine the empirical realism of their original prospect theory with the theoretical advantages of Quiggin's rank-dependent utility. Preference axiomatizations were provided in several papers. All those axiomatizations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067994
Whereas both the Allais paradox, the first empirical challenge of the classical rationality assumptions, and learning have been the focus of many experimental investigations, no experimental study exists today into learning in the pure context of the Allais paradox. This paper presents such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005678249
This article identifies the common characterizing property, the comonotonic sure-thing principle, that underlies the rank-dependent direction in non-expected utility. This property restricts Savage's sure-thing principle to comonotonic acts, and is characterized in full generality by means of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005678260