creates a war chest for deterrence. The strongest incumbents do not create the largest war chests since they deter the …

surprised by the way other governments respond to challenges is inconsistent with rational deterrence theory. Some have … deterrence that incorporate incomplete information, learning and the development of reputations. The purpose of this paper is to …

deterrence and crisis-prevention strategies. …

We study deterrence in sequential move conflicts, modeled as a contest. We bias the model in favor of peace by assuming … that under complete information deterrence is achieved and peace prevails. We show that under incomplete information about … states’ types (resolve) the chances of deterrence decrease rapidly. Studying a uniform type distribution, we show that the …